{"id":13,"date":"2015-02-19T15:38:46","date_gmt":"2015-02-19T15:38:46","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/localhost:19668\/?page_id=13"},"modified":"2026-08-06T01:09:06","modified_gmt":"2026-08-06T01:09:06","slug":"research","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/www.ghoddusi.com\/Academic_Website\/WP\/research\/","title":{"rendered":"Publications"},"content":{"rendered":"\n\t<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\tjQuery(document).ready(function($){\tjQuery(\"ul.tabs-nav\").tabs(\"> .pane\"); }); <\/script>\n\n\t\t<div class=\"post-tabs\">\n\t\t\n<ul class=\"tabs-nav\">\n<li> Selected Publications <\/li>\n<li> Working Papers <\/li>\n<li> Book Chapters <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\t<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\tjQuery(document).ready(function($){\tjQuery(\"ul.tabs-nav\").tabs(\"> .pane\"); }); <\/script>\n\n\t\t<div class=\"post-tabs\">\n\t\t\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\n\n\t\t<div class=\"pane\">\n\t\t\n<p>\nGhoddusi, H., and S. Navabi.<br \/>\n\u201c<strong>Hedging Downstream: An Equilibrium View.<\/strong>\u201d<br \/>\nAccepted, <em>Management Science<\/em>.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nGhoddusi, H.<br \/>\n\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.eneco.2026.109460\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Value of Incidental Heat in Buildings.<\/strong><\/a>\u201d<br \/>\n<em>Energy Economics<\/em>, 2026.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nGhoddusi, H., and S. Navabi.<br \/>\n\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1177\/01956574261467501\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>A Dynamic Model of Crack Spreads.<\/strong><\/a>\u201d<br \/>\n<em>The Energy Journal<\/em>, 2026.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nGhoddusi, H., A. Rodivilov, and B. Siyahhan.<br \/>\n\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.ejor.2025.09.034\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Dynamic Pricing When Consumers Have Real Options.<\/strong><\/a>\u201d<br \/>\n<em>European Journal of Operational Research<\/em>, 2026.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nMokhtari, M. A., and H. Ghoddusi.<br \/>\n\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.jeem.2025.103240\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Fueling Inequality: A Novel Estimate from Large-Scale Reforms.<\/strong><\/a>\u201d<br \/>\n<em>Journal of Environmental Economics and Management<\/em>, 2025.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nGhoddusi, H., S. Titman, and S. Tompaidis.<br \/>\n\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1017\/S0022109022001478\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Hedging Commodity Price Risk.<\/strong><\/a>\u201d<br \/>\n<em>Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis<\/em>, 2023.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nGhoddusi, H., M. Morovati, and N. Rafizadeh.<br \/>\n\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.eneco.2022.106009\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Dynamics of Fuel Demand Elasticity: Evidence from Iranian Subsidy Reforms.<\/strong><\/a>\u201d<br \/>\n<em>Energy Economics<\/em>, 2022.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nAfkhami, M., and H. Ghoddusi.<br \/>\n\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1080\/14697688.2021.1996625\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Pricing Renewable Identification Numbers Under Uncertainty.<\/strong><\/a>\u201d<br \/>\n<em>Quantitative Finance<\/em>, 2022.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nRoy, M., H. Ghoddusi, and J. E. Trancik.<br \/>\n\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1021\/acs.est.1c02052\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Evaluating Low-Carbon Transportation Technologies When Demand Responds to Price.<\/strong><\/a>\u201d<br \/>\n<em>Environmental Science &amp; Technology<\/em>, 2022.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nAfkhami, M., H. Ghoddusi, and N. Rafizadeh.<br \/>\n\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.eneco.2021.105305\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Google Search Explains Your Gasoline Consumption!<\/strong><\/a>\u201d<br \/>\n<em>Energy Economics<\/em>, 2021.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nGhoddusi, H., A. Rodivilov, and M. Roy.<br \/>\n\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.eneco.2020.105009\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Income Elasticity of Demand versus Consumption: Implications for Energy Policy Analysis.<\/strong><\/a>\u201d<br \/>\n<em>Energy Economics<\/em>, 2021.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nGhoddusi, H., and F. Wirl.<br \/>\n\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.5547\/01956574.42.1.hgho\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>A Risk-Hedging View to Refinery Capacity Investment in OPEC Countries.<\/strong><\/a>\u201d<br \/>\n<em>The Energy Journal<\/em>, 2021.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nShantia, A., S. Aflaki, and H. Ghoddusi.<br \/>\n\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1111\/poms.13030\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Input-Price Risk Management: Technology Improvement and Financial Hedging.<\/strong><\/a>\u201d<br \/>\n<em>Production and Operations Management<\/em>, 2019.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nGhoddusi, H., G. G. Creamer, and N. Rafizadeh.<br \/>\n\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.eneco.2019.05.006\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Machine Learning in Energy Economics and Finance: A Review.<\/strong><\/a>\u201d<br \/>\n<em>Energy Economics<\/em>, 2019.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nGhoddusi, H., and M. Afkhami.<br \/>\n\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.jedc.2019.02.008\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Valuation of Mortgage Interest Deductibility under Uncertainty: An Option Pricing Approach.<\/strong><\/a>\u201d<br \/>\n<em>Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control<\/em>, 2019.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nGhoddusi, H., N. Rafizadeh, and M. H. Rahmati.<br \/>\n\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.eneco.2018.02.008\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Price Elasticity of Gasoline Smuggling: A Semi-Structural Estimation Approach.<\/strong><\/a>\u201d<br \/>\n<em>Energy Economics<\/em>, 2018.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nGhoddusi, H., M. Nili, and M. Rastad.<br \/>\n\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.eneco.2017.10.016\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>On Quota Violations of OPEC Members.<\/strong><\/a>\u201d<br \/>\n<em>Energy Economics<\/em>, 2017.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nGhoddusi, H., and M. Roy.<br \/>\n\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.eneco.2017.07.017\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Supply Elasticity Matters for the Rebound Effect and Its Impact on Policy Comparisons.<\/strong><\/a>\u201d<br \/>\n<em>Energy Economics<\/em>, 2017.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nAfkhami, M., L. Cormack, and H. Ghoddusi.<br \/>\n\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.eneco.2017.07.014\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Google Search Keywords That Best Predict Energy Price Volatility.<\/strong><\/a>\u201d<br \/>\n<em>Energy Economics<\/em>, 2017.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nGhoddusi, H.<br \/>\n\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.renene.2017.07.044\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Price Risks for Biofuel Producers in a Deregulated Market.<\/strong><\/a>\u201d<br \/>\n<em>Renewable Energy<\/em>, 2017.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nGhoddusi, H., and S. Emamzadehfard.<br \/>\n\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.eneco.2017.01.018\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Optimal Hedging in the US Natural Gas Market: The Effect of Maturity and Cointegration.<\/strong><\/a>\u201d<br \/>\n<em>Energy Economics<\/em>, 2017.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nGhoddusi, H.<br \/>\n\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.eneco.2016.11.007\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Blending under Uncertainty: Real Options Analysis of Ethanol Plants and Biofuels Mandates.<\/strong><\/a>\u201d<br \/>\n<em>Energy Economics<\/em>, 2017.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nGhoddusi, H., and A. Fahim.<br \/>\n\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.econlet.2016.10.001\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Volatility Can Be Detrimental to Option Values!<\/strong><\/a>\u201d<br \/>\n<em>Economics Letters<\/em>, 2016.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nGhoddusi, H.<br \/>\n\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.eneco.2016.03.011\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Integration of Physical and Futures Prices in the US Natural Gas Market.<\/strong><\/a>\u201d<br \/>\n<em>Energy Economics<\/em>, 2016.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nEkholm, T., H. Ghoddusi, V. Krey, and K. Riahi.<br \/>\n\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.enpol.2013.04.001\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>The Effect of Financial Constraints on Energy-Climate Scenarios.<\/strong><\/a>\u201d<br \/>\n<em>Energy Policy<\/em>, 2013.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nGhoddusi, H.<br \/>\n\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1111\/j.1467-9485.2009.00522.x\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Dynamic Investment in Extraction Capacity of Exhaustible Resources.<\/strong><\/a>\u201d<br \/>\n<em>Scottish Journal of Political Economy<\/em>, 2010.\n<\/p>\n\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\n\n\t\t<div class=\"pane\">\n\t\t\n<p>\nGhoddusi, H.<br \/>\n\u201c<strong>Optimal Choice of Capital Duration in Industry Equilibrium.<\/strong>\u201d<br \/>\n2026. Under review at <em>Management Science<\/em>.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nGhoddusi, H.<br \/>\n\u201c<strong>The Spatial Equilibrium of Data Centers.<\/strong>\u201d<br \/>\n2026.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nGhoddusi, H., et al.<br \/>\n\u201c<strong>Stability of Explainable Machine-Learning Metrics: Evidence from HMDA.<\/strong>\u201d<br \/>\n2026.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nGhoddusi, H.<br \/>\n\u201c<strong>Spatial Diversification in Data Center Siting under Correlated Energy Risk.<\/strong>\u201d<br \/>\n2026.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nGhoddusi, H.<br \/>\n\u201c<strong>Community Benefit Agreements: A Mixed-Integer Collective-Choice Framework.<\/strong>\u201d<br \/>\n2026.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nGhoddusi, H., et al.<br \/>\n\u201c<strong>Stochastic Levelized Cost of Computation: Geography of Data Centers.<\/strong>\u201d<br \/>\n2026.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nGhoddusi, H., D. Behroozi, and A. Muelrath.<br \/>\n\u201c<strong>Data Centers and Local Opposition: Theory and Evidence.<\/strong>\u201d<br \/>\n2026.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nGhoddusi, H.<br \/>\n\u201c<strong>Tariffs and Supply Chain Topology: General Equilibrium.<\/strong>\u201d<br \/>\n2025.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nGhoddusi, H., and J. Eisenberg.<br \/>\n\u201c<strong>Volatility and the Frequency of Optimal Menu-Cost Adjustment.<\/strong>\u201d<br \/>\n2025.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nGhoddusi, H., and S. Dashmiz.<br \/>\n\u201c<strong>Negative Vega and Implications for Optimal Contract Design.<\/strong>\u201d<br \/>\n2025.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nDangl, T., H. Ghoddusi, and S. Rotzer.<br \/>\n\u201c<strong>The Hedging Value of Low-Quality Capital in Competitive Industries.<\/strong>\u201d<br \/>\n2024.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/papers.ssrn.com\/sol3\/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3449915\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Earlier working-paper version<\/a>.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nGhoddusi, H.<br \/>\n\u201c<strong>Real Estate Sector and Long-Run Risk: The Role of Supply Elasticity.<\/strong>\u201d\n<\/p>\n\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\n\n\t\t<div class=\"pane\">\n\t\t\n<p>\nGhoddusi, H.<br \/>\n\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1561\/0200000102-4\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Coordination Problems in Platform Markets under Uncertainty.<\/strong><\/a>\u201d<br \/>\n<em>Foundations and Trends in Technology, Information and Operations Management<\/em>, 2022.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nGhoddusi, H.<br \/>\n\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1561\/0200000096-5\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Renewable Identification Numbers: A Supply-Chain Risk View.<\/strong><\/a>\u201d<br \/>\n<em>Foundations and Trends in Technology, Information and Operations Management<\/em>, 2020.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nGhoddusi, H.<br \/>\n\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1561\/0200000093\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Risk Management in Commodity Processing Firms.<\/strong><\/a>\u201d<br \/>\n<em>Foundations and Trends in Technology, Information and Operations Management<\/em>, 2019.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nJalali, M. S., H. Rahmandad, and H. Ghoddusi.<br \/>\n\u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.researchgate.net\/publication\/315828621_Using_the_Method_of_Simulated_Moments_for_System_Identification\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Using the Method of Simulated Moments for System Identification.<\/strong><\/a>\u201d<br \/>\nIn <em>Analytical Methods for Dynamic Modelers<\/em>, MIT Press, 2015.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nGhoddusi, H.<br \/>\n\u201c<strong>Kandelous Agro-Industry Group: Case Study of a Pro-Poor Business Model.<\/strong>\u201d<br \/>\nUNDP Growing Inclusive Markets, 2011.\n<\/p>\n\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\n\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\n[\/tabs]\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[\/tabs]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","template":"","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-13","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"[\/tabs]\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"max-image-preview:large\" \/>\n\t<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ghoddusi.com\/Academic_Website\/WP\/research\/\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"generator\" content=\"All in One SEO (AIOSEO) 5.0.1.1\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Hamed Ghoddusi |\" \/>\n\t\t<meta property=\"og:type\" 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